Two deluded left-wing pro-migration aßholes may rattling good suspension European Union inwards months
Crazy attitudes to the bulk migration from the Muslim globe proceed on returning. Deutschland is Europe's strongest province together with Angela Merkel is its leader. So many of the mistakes are naturally identified amongst Mutti Merkel. But I frequently recollect that other European leaders are to a greater extent than insane than she is – they're exactly less visible together with so they don't attract equally much attending equally Merkel does.
Syrian man who is getting almost one-half a 1000000 dollars per twelvemonth inwards welfare coin for himself, iv wives, together with 22 or 23 children who alive amongst him inwards several High German houses? This even is together with so insane for together with so many reason. First, this guy should endure straightaway arrested or deported for polygamy which is illegal. Second, fifty-fifty if he is not, the "unofficial wives" should endure getting their welfare subsidies directly, non through a man. Third, it's crazy to pay them anything, permit solitary large bucks, at all. They should endure inwards a detention facility before they larn an asylum together with similar inwards Czechia, they should pay for the services inwards the facility.)
I believe that the Greek together with Italian governments are the actual engines of the most radically insane pro-migration mistakes that Europe keeps on doing.
Today, Italy's migration policies which possess got been utterly insane, exactly similar the Greek ones – together with include the deliberate carry of thousands of Africans from Great Socialist People's Libyan Arab Jamahiriya together with so that their illegal migration adventures move fifty-fifty easier.
These crazy policies for sure practise contribute to Italy's budget deficits – but don't larn me wrong, Italia together with Hellenic Republic are wasting the populace coin inwards lots of other ways equally well. But they can't endure used equally arguments for Italia to pay less or have to a greater extent than because they are clearly mistakes done yesteryear the Italian politicians themselves. Other countries such equally mine plainly cannot reward Italia for doing something that nosotros take in harmful – both for Italia together with for Europe.
OK, it's obvious that Tsipras' together with Renzi's interpretations of all these things are totally unlike and, inwards my opinion, hopelessly idiotic.
But at the end, you lot may forget close the disputes "who is right" together with ask: What volition laissez passer on off when Renzi or Tsipras (one of them is enough) truly torpedoes the European Union budget yesteryear demanding that everyone adopts their delusions close migration? Well, most likely, the quotas together with the redistribution volition stay unacceptable inwards my province and/or other Visegrád Group (and mayhap other) countries, or at to the lowest degree around of these countries.
I haven't thought close the fiscal numbers describing the other countries – together with peculiarly the detailed psychology together with political back upwardly – much. But I empathize the province of affairs of Czech Republic inwards quite around detail. The bulk redistribution is basically unimaginable because it may brand politicians who back upwardly such things unelectable. Just to endure sure, I recollect nosotros could integrate around 1,000 people exactly fine. But I am worried that to give upwardly this minor battle agency to tending the thought that "the European Union redistribution works" which volition move far grow exponentially piece it's becoming increasingly unstoppable. It's clearly a route to hell together with the before it's stopped, the better.
OK, Czech Republic (and peculiarly others) volition spend upwardly the quotas 1 time over again together with comrades Tsipras or Renzi volition veto the European Union budget. Some replacement is institute together with Czech Republic gets no inflows. What does it hateful for us?
Well, close the peak, the internet inflows to Czech Republic were around 2% of our GDP. It's a large amount of coin that helps to create upwardly one's hear deficits or surpluses. But relatively to the GDP, it's however a minor fraction that exactly doesn't truly alter anything qualitatively. Our annual gross domestic product increase charge per unit of measurement exceeded 4% of late – although it may endure closer to 2% at nowadays – together with so to subtract 2% from the gross domestic product permanently is equivalent to waiting for 6-12 months (delaying the increase expected from these months). Or frame the numbers inwards damage of the budget balance. Czech Republic volition likely halt amongst a budget surplus at the halt of 2016 – the finance government minister Babiš is already bragging although it's non truly his achievement. To lose 2% of gross domestic product from the European Union budget could hateful to alter a 0.5% surplus to a tolerable 1.5% deficit fifty-fifty if no expenses (including the "EU projects") were slashed.
To lose the European Union inflows is exactly non a alter that rational Czechs take in of import plenty to sacrifice our basic sovereignty over the immigration policies together with other things. Communism erased 80-90% of our "otherwise existing" gross domestic product piece the autumn of the Soviet Union inwards the early on 1990s erased additional 30% of the ease – for a while, before nosotros grew all of it together with much to a greater extent than again. 1%-2% of the gross domestic product is a negligible fraction inwards comparison. So nosotros would likely pick out the budget without internet inflows – piece nosotros proceed the correct to spend upwardly all these migrants.
However, fifty-fifty though the fiscal loss would endure minor equally a percent of the GDP, it would endure rather large relatively to the "net advantages that the European Union membership agency for us". The 1%-2% of our gross domestic product that nosotros were getting from the European Union equally internet inflows inwards recent years are arguably the majority or at to the lowest degree a rattling large purpose of the advantages that the European Union membership is bringing to us. (Assuming, of course, that zip volition alter close the costless merchandise betwixt Czech Republic together with the ease of the EU, peculiarly Germany. Unlike the U.K., Czech Republic could endure OK amongst the costless motility of the European citizens together with stay inwards the "single market" inwards the European Union sense.)
To lose this inflow of coin may rattling good endure plenty to brand the public's wishing to exit the European Union safely exceed 50% or whatever is the truly of import threshold here. Just similar it's suicidal for a Czech politico to back upwardly bulk migration, it mightiness rattling good move suicidal for him to back upwardly the continuing European Union membership.
These are large changes of the political atmosphere on the continent that may number from Renzi's together with Tsipras' childish together with unrealistic dreams that a pregnant fraction of the illegal immigrants they possess got unwisely allowed to move into their countries volition endure transferred to the post-communist Europe. These changes may endure unsafe but I am truly non sure that they would ultimately endure negative things. It's plausible that the decay of the European Union that Renzi together with Tsipras may dramatically accelerate volition plough out to endure a expert thing. But I am pretty sure that it won't endure expert according to the mental framework of pro-EU socialists similar Renzi together with pro-EU communists similar Tsipras.
I don't truly believe that if the Visegrád Group countries left the EU, the European Union could redefine itself equally the express territory of the European Communities before whatever post-communist countries joined. It exactly won't work. In recent years, many Western Europeans possess got understood good that at to the lowest degree when it comes to the opinions close run together with business, most post-communist cardinal Europeans are truly closer to them than the Italians permit solitary Greeks. I possess got around doubts that Deutschland together with other stable rich European countries would beloved to subsidize Italia also much inwards around restricted EU. But tending yourself together with seek me wrong.
You should respect that most of the "bizarre" circumstances together with ideas of Renzi together with Tsipras arise because Europe is exactly non a nation or a demos – which is the most fundamental flaw of any endeavor to integrate the European Union countries into a democratic quasi-state. You know, if the folks inwards the European Union were thinking equally 1 nation, Renzi together with Tsipras wouldn't fifty-fifty larn the thought to link the European Union budget to around controversial questions. These are truly "nuclear weapons" that you lot exclusively firstly to take in before a major dissolution, secession, or state of war (a civil state of war or otherwise). Some Midwest states may disagree amongst California's policies towards homosexuals or transsexuals but neither side volition order that it's a argue to pay smaller amounts of coin to the federal budget etc. Texas may endure exposed to a higher number of Mexican immigrants but that doesn't hateful it demands around rattling special handling together with astronomic subsidies comparable to the contributions to the federal budget. Even inwards the U.S. which is much to a greater extent than integrated, the states possess got gotten used to the fact that sure opinions together with policies exclusively grip inwards around states together with they're non capable of "forcing" other states to pick out these opinions together with laws.
But Europeans are much less "unified" than the Americans, together with so they should empathize that the powerfulness to forcefulness other nations to "be the same" is naturally (even) much weaker than inwards the U.S. At the halt of the day, Europeans are exactly non thinking equally 1 nation. Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 Czech guy has plenty problems amongst the Czech political parties he disagrees with. But those are "normal political problems" that possess got e'er existed. If nosotros had to add together Italians together with Greeks to the "list of the people politically opposing us", the problems would move insurmountable. And indeed, almost all the opinions close the economy, business, budget, retirement, migration etc. that are believed yesteryear almost all Greeks together with almost all Italians are unacceptable for almost all Czechs. And they're exactly non our "close relatives" inwards whatever sense. We don't truly wishing to "help them" amongst around problems they created for themselves. When at that spot are around coin flows, they must endure results of around consensus that nosotros approach rationally.
At whatever rate, Renzi, Tsipras, together with many others possess got the capability of accelerating the decay of the European Union equally nosotros know it today. I exactly wishing to makes these comrades sure that this is the administration inwards which they're pushing. The thought that their childish blackmail volition alter the opinions of the Visegrád Group acre together with nosotros volition move enthusiastic close the bulk absorption of illegal immigrants is utterly unreasonable.
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